Almería - Barcelona predictions

With most bookies pricing a home win at 6.59, this is one of the more lopsided matches of the season. Needless to say, Almería don’t stand much of a chance at coming out on top.

A trip to Almería can hardly be seen as a big test for Barcelona. With 1.48 betting odds stacked in their favour, it’s hard seeing past anything other than a compelling away win here.

When we talk about Almería’s previous La Liga result, it’s fair to say hosts can be pretty happy to have avoided a heavier defeat. They were the 9.15 underdogs last time out and a narrow Real Betis HT/FT loss is not something to scoff at.

With 4.88 odds to win and home-field advantage, Barcelona were clearly likely to win their previous La Liga match before kick-off. The game went about as expected – they took an early lead and kept at it until they eventually won 2:0.

The biggest issue the hosts have is a lacklustre backline. They’re currently on a bit of a trend of conceding a lot of goals – over 5 across their 3 previous matches, to be exact.

Given 6 goals conceded in their own net over the past 3 matches, Barcelona's defensive line is much to be desired.

Almería are currently in the relegation zone and going into a difficult match this Thursday. With barely any matches rounds yet to be played, climbing up seems highly unlikely at this point.

Almería supporters are hoping that the team will manage to beat the odds, but their chances aren’t great if the previous game is any indication. Blaugrana secured a solid home win against them earlier in the season, and all signs are pointing to a similar outcome this time around.

The visitors may be expected to win, but they’ll have to do so without Frenkie de Jong, P. Paez Gaviria, Alejandro Balde Martínez. This tips the scales slightly in the hosts’ favour, but not by much.

An Over 3.5 Goals bet may seem somewhat risky, but it’s a lot more probable than usual. It’s a great pick if the betting value is what you’re after, but some might prefer a somewhat safer choice.